Chris, we are getting 30 mph wind gusts here due the pressure differential between us and Ike. Unfortunately, it looks we will be on the dry, subsiding side of Ike again so just hot and dry weather for us without much hope of anything but a stray thunderstorm. Compared to being in Galveston, it's not a bad alternative though.
Ken, we had some flood zones in California that were only allowed to have RV parks so they could be quickly evacuated. I suspect living full-time in one brings up some building code issues but I'd really like to see them stop the construction of these 20 and 30 story condos 50 feet from the water in places like Miami and Fort Lauderdale. As bad as Ike will be, the real monster storm will be a direct hit on the south Florida coast by a cat 4 or 5.
Ike is still a cat 2 tonight and I doubt he will be able to get back up to an official cat 3 except for maybe an hour or two before landfall. It's almost irrelevant now since Ike is so huge he's pushing a storm surge equivalent to a cat 4 hurricane ahead of him. It's unusual with landfall less than 24 hours away for the models still to be in disagreement but there are still some that want to bring Ike to Corpus Christi and some to Galveston. At this point, Galveston is not only looking more likely, the direction of Ike making landfall and having it occur during an astronomical high tide will increase the storm search to near 25 feet, with battering waves near 45 feet. Galveston Island will be completely inundated and very little will remain after Ike passes through. The city of Galveston will be badly flooded and storm surge will destroy a large number of structures in the harbor area. Houston will also suffer a considerable amount of flooding and wind damage but it should be manageable. Flood conditions will extend all the way up to Dallas and Ike should remain a tropical depression into east Oklahoma. The interesting thing about the remnants is that they should make a curve around the high pressure ridge down here and head up toward Ohio. If the remnants of Ike can get over Lake Erie, he could become a strong extratropical storm, something rarely seen in the Midwest.
Ken, we had some flood zones in California that were only allowed to have RV parks so they could be quickly evacuated. I suspect living full-time in one brings up some building code issues but I'd really like to see them stop the construction of these 20 and 30 story condos 50 feet from the water in places like Miami and Fort Lauderdale. As bad as Ike will be, the real monster storm will be a direct hit on the south Florida coast by a cat 4 or 5.
Ike is still a cat 2 tonight and I doubt he will be able to get back up to an official cat 3 except for maybe an hour or two before landfall. It's almost irrelevant now since Ike is so huge he's pushing a storm surge equivalent to a cat 4 hurricane ahead of him. It's unusual with landfall less than 24 hours away for the models still to be in disagreement but there are still some that want to bring Ike to Corpus Christi and some to Galveston. At this point, Galveston is not only looking more likely, the direction of Ike making landfall and having it occur during an astronomical high tide will increase the storm search to near 25 feet, with battering waves near 45 feet. Galveston Island will be completely inundated and very little will remain after Ike passes through. The city of Galveston will be badly flooded and storm surge will destroy a large number of structures in the harbor area. Houston will also suffer a considerable amount of flooding and wind damage but it should be manageable. Flood conditions will extend all the way up to Dallas and Ike should remain a tropical depression into east Oklahoma. The interesting thing about the remnants is that they should make a curve around the high pressure ridge down here and head up toward Ohio. If the remnants of Ike can get over Lake Erie, he could become a strong extratropical storm, something rarely seen in the Midwest.
