There was an electrical engineer that published a very detailed study of his layout which was pretty good sized, as I remember, and was in a garage, so there was no climate control. He had some pretty sophisticated strain gages and laser measuring tools and tested his track in both the heat of summer and the cold of winter. His final analysis was he never found a spot on the tracks that moved more than 1 mm regardless of climate change. It makes sense when you you think about the very small mass that model track presents to movement due to temperature change. I tend to agree with Willis that humidity is probably a bigger factor, especially for plywood and cork roadbeds. It's the humidity that will cause the sub-base to change and that could affect your track but even then, I don't think it will have any effect on running trains on otherwise well laid track.